34th Annual FAA Aviation Forecast Conference

Confronting New Realities: Energy, Economics, and Efficiency

Day One: Plenary Session — Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Time Event
8:30 a.m. – 8:35 a.m. FAA Welcome – Nancy LoBue, Acting Assistant Administrator for Aviation Policy, Planning, and Environment, Federal Aviation Administration – Video (WMV, 42.37 MB)
8:35 a.m. – 9:15 a.m. FAA Aviation Forecasts – Nan Shellabarger, Director, Aviation Policy and Plans, Federal Aviation Administration — Presentation (PDF)
9:15 a.m. – 10:35 a.m.

Panel 1 "How Are US Airlines Confronting New Realities?"

Moderator: Charles Barclay, A.A.E., President, American Association of Airport Executives

Panelists:

  • Arne Haak, Chief Financial Officer, AirTran Airways
  • Jim May, President and Chief Executive Officer, Air Transport Association
  • Captain John Prater, President Air Line Pilots Association, International
  • Adam Pilarski, Senior Vice President, AVITAS
  • Kevin Knight, Senior Vice President of Planning, United Airlines
10:35 a.m. – 11:00 a.m. Break
11:00 a.m. – 12:20 p.m.

Panel 2 "NextGen – Everyone wants it; What are the obstacles to achieving it?"

Moderator: Agam N. Sinha, Ph.D., Senior Vice President and General Manager, Center for Advance Aviation System Development (CAASD)

Panelists:

  • Hank Krakowski, Chief Operating Officer, FAA
  • Bill McCabe, President, The McCabe Group, LLC
  • Rick Vacar, Director of Aviation, Houston Airport System
  • Chuck Magill, VP Flight Operations, Southwest Airlines
  • Fred Pease, Executive Director, DOD Policy Board on Federal Aviation, U.S. Department of Defense
  • Steve Alterman, President, Cargo Airline Association
12:20 p.m. – 1:00 p.m.

"Government Initiatives"

  • Nancy LoBue, Acting Assistant Administrator for Policy, Planning and Environment, FAA
  • Ray H. LaHood, Secretary, U.S. Department of Transportation – Video (WMV, 18.01 MB)
1:00 p.m. – 2:15 p.m. Keynote Luncheon Address – Scott E. Carson, President & Chief Executive Officer, Boeing Commercial Airplanes – Video (WMV, 68.36 MB)
2:30 p.m. – 3:45 p.m.

Panel 3 "International Aviation Outlook"

Moderator: Susan McDermott, Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Aviation and International Affairs, U.S. Department of Transportation

Panelists:

  • Brian Pearce, Chief Economist, International Air Transport Association — Presentation (PDF)
  • Mary Prettyman, Vice President Marketing, North America, AirbusBUS Americas Sales, Inc. — Presentation (PDF)
  • John Byerly, Deputy Assistant Secretary for Transportation Affairs, U.S. Department of State — Presentation (PDF)
  • Bruce Nobles, Chief Executive Officer, Air Jamaica — Presentation (PDF)
3:45 p.m. – 4:15 p.m. Break
4:15 p.m. – 5:30 p.m.

Panel 4 "Current Conditions and Outlook for US Aviation"

Moderator: Gerald Dillingham, Director, Civil Aviation Issues, General Accountability Office

Panelists:

  • Sara Johnson, Managing Director, Global Macroeconomics, Global Insight — Presentation (PDF)
  • Kevin Crissey, Analyst, UBS Securities — Presentation (PDF)
  • Jens Hennig, Vice President Operations, General Aviation Manufacturers Association — Presentation (PDF)
  • Roger Cohen, President, Regional Airline Association (RAA) — Presentation (PDF)

Day Two: Concurrent Breakout Sessions — Wednesday, April 1, 2009

8:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon

Domestic Market Issues
Time Event
8:00am – 10:00am

Impact of current economic downturn on Medium-Term airline plans

  • Chris Frankel, Partner, GRA–Inc. — Presentation (PDF)
  • William Swelbar, Research Engineer, MIT International Center for Air Transportation — Presentation (PDF)
  • Fred Klein, President, Aviation Specialists Group — Presentation (PDF)
10:30am – 12:00 Noon

Global Warming Impact on Air Transport?

  • Steven Davis-Mendelow, Ph.D, Specialist, Corporate Responsibility and Market Analysis, Bombardier Commercial Aircraft — Presentation (PDF)
  • Carl Burleson, Director, Office of Environment and Energy, FAA — Presentation (PDF)
  • Mike Tretheway, Executive Vice President & Chief Economist, InterVISTAS Consulting, Inc. — Presentation (PDF)
  • Steve Tochilin, General Manager, Environment Health, Delta Airlines — Presentation (PDF)
Airports/Infrastructure
Time Event
8:00am – 10:00am

Aviation Trends Impacting U.S. Airports

  • Robert Hazel, Partner, Oliver Wyman — Presentation (PDF)
  • Joe Hebert, Manager, Financial Analysis and Passenger Facility Charge Branch, Federal Aviation Administration — Presentation (PDF)
  • Thomas Browne, President, TJB Aviation, LLC — Presentation (PDF)
  • Roger P. Moog, Manager, Office of Aviation Planning, Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission
10:30am – 12:00 Noon

Airport Planning Issues

  • Robert Olislagers, Executive Director, Centennial Airport — Presentation (PDF)
  • Larry Cox, President and CEO, Memphis International Airport — Presentation (PDF)
  • Paul Shank, Deputy Executive Director, Maryland Aviation Administration — Presentation (PDF)
  • Robert Mattingly, Vice President, Operations & Maintenance, Sarasota Bradenton International Airport — Presentation (PDF)
General Aviation/Business Aviation
Time Event
8:00am – 10:00am

Business Aviation

  • Rollie Vincent, President, Rolland Vincent Associates — Presentation (PDF)
  • Richard Aboulafia, Vice President, Analysis, Teal Group Corporation — Presentation (PDF)
  • Edward M. Bolen President and CEO, National Business Aviation Association, Inc. (NBAA) — Presentation (PDF)
10:30am – 12:00 Noon

Light Piston Aircraft

  • Julie K. Filucci, Manager, Cessna Pilot Center, Cessna Aircraft Company — Presentation (PDF)
  • Marshall Stevens, Deputy Executive Director, Harrisburg Intl Airport — Presentation (PDF)
  • Randy Jenson, Director, Advanced Solutions Center, Lycoming Engines — Presentation (MS PowerPoint)
  • Mark Rumizen, Reciprocating Engines/Fuels Specialist, Aircraft Certification Service, FAA — Presentation (PDF)
Cargo
Time Event
8:00am – 10:00am

Global Cargo Outlook

  • Oliver von Tronchin, Director, Airline Marketing, Airbus Americas — Presentation (PDF)
  • Tom Phillips, Executive Director, Keiser Phillips Associates, LLC — Presentation (PDF)
  • Jianwan Tian, Vice Professor, China Aviation Management Institute — Presentation (PDF)