Commercial Space Draft Advisory Circulars (ACs)

The public has an opportunity to comment on DRAFT commercial space advisory circulars while they are on notice in the Federal Register. We will review all comments received and consider them for incorporation in the final document. Feedback for Draft ACs may be submitted via by emailing 9-ast-asz210-directives@faa.gov. Please include the Draft AC number/title in the subject line.

AC 460.45-1 Draft Probability of Failure  

Summary:

This Advisory Circular (AC) provides guidance and an example means of compliance for performing a probability of failure analysis in accordance with Title 14 of the Code of Federal Regulations (14 CFR) 450.131. A flight safety analysis that accounts for vehicle failure probability is required for launch or reentry in accordance with § 450.113(a). Such an analysis is required under most circumstances for all phases of flight. This AC is intended to assist prospective applicants and operators in performing a probability of failure analysis in compliance with § 450.131.

Reference: 14 CFR 450.131
Documents for Download: AC 450.131-1 Draft
Comments Due:  Sept. 24, 2025
How to Comment: Feedback for Draft ACs may be submitted by emailing 9-ast-asz210-directives@faa.gov. Please include the Draft AC number/title in the subject line.
Last updated: Friday, August 22, 2025