The 2016 FAA forecast calls for U.S. carrier combined domestic and international passenger growth to average 2.2 percent per year over the next two decades. System capacity in available seat miles (ASMs) – the overall yardstick for how busy aviation is both domestically and internationally – is projected to increase by 2.6 percent in 2016 after posting a 3.9 percent increase in 2015. It will then grow at an average annual rate of 2.5 percent through 2036.

FY 2016–2036 forecast individual sections

FY 2016–2036 forecast tables

FY2016–2036 forecast methodology

Previous FAA aerospace forecasts